May 13, 2008

Clinton Wins West Virginia

Networks called the race immediately after polls closed.

Clinton had been expected to trounce Barack Obama in the Mountain state, in what her campaign hopes will give her a boost in making the case to superdelegates.

She was expected to beat Obama by at least a 2-1 margin.

Clinton won a majority of white voters and voters with incomes under $50,000, according to MSNBC exit polls. She won white women by a 3-1 margin.

"I am more determined than ever to carry on this campaign until everyone has had a chance to make their voices heard," Clinton told supporters.

"Tonight I need your help to continue this journey," she said, while giving a plug to her Website and echoing a plea she has made for financial support in recent appearances.

"This race isn't over yet. Neither of us has the total delegates it takes to win, and both Sen. Obama and I believe that the delegates from Florida and Michigan should be seated."

With Florida and Michigan included, she cited the 2,209 threshold as that needed to win --- essentially moving the goalpost from the 2,025 often cited to win the nomination.

"An enormous decisions falls on the shoulders of Democratic voters," she says. "In these final contests and those Democrats empowered to vote at the convention. I want to send a message to everyone still making up their minds. I am in this race because I believe I am the strongest candidate to lead our party in 2008 and the strongest president to lead our nation starting in January of 2009."

"You know I'll never give up. I'll stand with you as long as you stand with me."

Warren Beatty Talks 2008

A rumor had been swirling that John McCain told actor and friend Warren Beatty that he didn't vote for George W. Bush in 2004, so the Atlantic's Marc Ambinder called the actor to see what it was all about.

"Mystifying," Beatty told Ambinder.

"I don’t understand the ridiculousness of this process that makes that a subject of your work. Isn't it clear that the McCain campaigned for the Republican candidate?"

"It seems to me that the reason why people are doing this is to attempt to dramatize some sort of duplicity in a man who... I’ve known John McCain for a long time. He always said he was a conservative. He was a conservative. He is a conservative. It seems that people should take John McCain for what he says he is."

Beatty, one of Hollywood's best-known liberals, has long been friends with McCain, but he hasn't stated who he is backing in 2008.

He told Ambinder, "I like Obama. I like Hillary I like McCain, and when I get ready to say something publicly, I will do it."

Continue reading "Warren Beatty Talks 2008" »

A Rebuttal to Rove

Updated

That, and other news, in today's Political Panorama.

Howell Raines sees a shift in the way that the media covers election, fueled by Barack Obama's candidacy. His Portfolio essay, in fact, can be seen as a counterbalance to the recent New York Times profile of new political pundit Karl Rove.

An Obama win, Raines suggests, will change the dynamic of campaign coverage because it will signal that mainstream journalists' lionization of attack politics and the master pros behind it is outdated.

Raines recounts a panel he was on last month with Karl Rove, and he writes, "Rove, of course, pointed out that tolerating a racist preacher, as Obama did, is different from cozying up to racist politicians, and he’s right. Wright has never had the legal authority to block state prosecution of Klan murderers, as Wallace routinely did back in his days of hobnobbing with presidents.

"Rove ridiculed Obama at length for suggesting a moral equivalence between black and white racism. “We’re all morally equivalent to a guy who says ‘Goddamn America’ and AIDS was a virus concocted by the government as a genocidal tool,” Rove said. To make matters worse, he added that Obama “then concludes by suggesting that the morally equivalent black and white anger ought to find its outlet against the real enemy, which is corporate America.”

"Rove’s outburst was notable, I told the audience, “because you’ve just heard the Republican campaign in a nitroglycerin tablet,” should Obama get the nomination. Actually, I was dazzled by the cogency of Rove’s case against Obama. Clearly, if perhaps unintentionally, he had outlined a G.O.P. swift-boat game plan, updated for the 2008 general-election campaign. Obama’s crazy preacher and the candidate’s sociological observations about guns, religion, and working-class bitterness have given the G.O.P.’s video pistoleros all the fodder they need for the television commercials you’ll see after Labor Day."

Another "Fahrenheit": Michael Moore plans a sequel to "Fahrenheit 9/11," Variety reports. The pic will be released in 2009, after President Bush is out of office.

More on "W":
Cindy Adams gets more details on Oliver Stone's "W," including these nuggets from page 42. "Checking a map, being told it passed "Humint," whereupon the President of the United States asks, "What's 'Humint' again?" and being told "It's Human Intelligence." A scene in which, auditing an Iraqi intercept, W. asks, "Wolfowitz, got any Maalox on you? . . . and while you're at it, trim your ear hairs." And Cheney checking his heart pills."

Smoke Out: Eugene Levy stars in a new in-theater public service announcement that offers to help people quit smoking. "All it takes is a little movie magic to make a cigarette disappear," Levy says in the 30-second spot, as he tries in vain to vanquish the tobacco stick. The spot is released by the American Cancer Society, the Entertainment Industry Foundation and the Will Rogers Institute, and directed by Paul Flaherty.

May 12, 2008

MoveOn's Winner

"Obamacan," a 30-second spot by David Gaw & Lance Mungia, was the winner of MoveOn's contest to create an ad for Barack Obama and get it on the air. Judges included Ben Affleck, Matt Damon, James Schamus, Oliver Stone and Julia Stiles.

Other finalists in the contest are here.

Hollywood Prepares for Dramatic Ending

Over the weekend Variety debuted a new print version of Wilshire & Washington. Here's a slightly extended version of the first installment:

Throughout this race to pick a Democratic nominee for president, Hollywood has been evenly, sometimes bitterly and other times absurdly divided over Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama.

Couples have split along gender lines. Friends engage in nasty email wars. Families get rattled even talking about their choices. A few people, like Larry David, have found it too unbearable not to comment publicly.

So how does the entertainment industry unify?

The question takes on fresh urgency if Obama is the nominee — a prospect that looks more likely after last week’s Indiana and North Carolina primaries. His ascendancy signals a shift to a different and relatively younger pool of fund-raisers and donors, altering the industry’s center of political gravity as to who hosts events, who has access to the candidate and the top campaign players, and who commands the time and attention.

For years, much of Hollywood’s political establishment has centered around the Clintons, and longtime politically active figures like Steve Bing, Haim Saban, Ron Burkle and Rob Reiner placed their bets on Hillary.

Last year, when the election buildup began, it seemed unthinkable that she wouldn’t win, with Saban even predicting to NBC News, “Those that have opted to support other candidates I believe will very quickly come home.”

Many did not.

Obama drew such notables as Jeffrey Katzenberg and David Geffen as bundlers, and Jeremy Bernard and Rufus Gifford as L.A.-based fund-raising consultants, but he chose as his California finance co-chairs music industry exec Nicole Avant and Wild Brain CEO Charles Rivkin — long politically active yet relatively new compared with the Clinton juggernaut. In fact, a recent list of upcoming Hollywood political players in the Politico was notable because it featured so many names connected to the Obama campaign.

It’s tempting to characterize it as a generational split, mirroring each candidate’s support in the exit polls. After all, Hollywood’s biggest creative contributions to the campaign have come in the form of YouTube videos: the Obama one by will.i.am, 33; the Clinton spot featuring Jack Nicholson, 71. Then again, Obama has deployed veteran actor James Whitmore Jr., 86, to campaign events, while “Ugly Betty” star America Ferrera, 24, has been gung-ho for Hillary on the trail.

Nor has it been easy to define the race along gender lines. One Obama fund-raiser who hosted an event at her home in October said, a bit bemusedly, that it was much easier to draw women to the event than gay men.

In any case, if Obama is the victor, it will set off a delicate dance to bring the Clinton team into the fold.
That wasn’t so difficult in 2004, when John Kerry was the clear choice by late February. At the same point this time around, the industry was so split that just $300 separated Clinton and Obama in money raised from showbiz.

Views have hardened as the race has dragged on. CNN reported last week that Harvey Weinstein, a Clinton supporter, called House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and threatened to withhold contributions for congressional candidates unless she agreed to a plan where he would help finance re-votes in Michigan and Florida. Weinstein denied the threat, but he confirmed proposing the plan.

In the words of one very active Clinton supporter, “Everything is different now because we’ve gone on so long and the cement has dried.”

Obama’s team will need Clintonites, not just for their show of support but for their fund-raising prowess. More than any other candidate, Clinton was the most aggressive in drawing “double max” contributors who ponied up $2,300 for the primary and another $2,300 for the general election. She can’t use the latter money unless she’s the nominee. If she isn’t, it has to be refunded. Or perhaps Obama’s team can persuade these donors to send their contributions to Obama.

Yet as much as there’s an expectation of unity, there’s also the question of loyalty. In 2004, there were some resentments among those who had stayed with John Kerry throughout the primary when suddenly, as the general election approached, backers of Howard Dean and other candidates seemed to swoop in and steal the show. The Obama camp wants to make sure that those who stayed with the campaign through thick and thin won’t be aced out of high-profile roles in the general election.

But even as some pundits write off Clinton’s prospects, there has been surprisingly little team switching so far.

Avant, who says she is “cautiously optimistic” about Obama’s prospects for securing the nomination, believes Clinton supporters eventually will back Obama, or vice versa if that’s how things end up.
“The goal now is to finish what we started, unify the party and prepare for a victory in November,” she says.

Naturally, that will be on the minds of many when DNC chairman Dean meets with Los Angeles fund-raisers May 14. He previously gathered supporters of both camps to a March event at Rivkin’s home, and, despite some tense moments, no one stormed out vowing to vote for John McCain.

But a period of catharsis awaits those in the losing camp.

Marge Tabankin, executive director of the Streisand Foundation, says that among Clinton supporters, “There is a sense of reality settling in, that it will be really hard for her to pull this one out. But they are not giving up.”

She does believe the biz will rally behind the nominee, as does industry political consultant Donna Bojarsky.

“Everyone will unify,” Bojarsky says. “It may take a minute. But I have no doubt that once there’s a nominee, and if it’s Obama, the Clinton people will come over. Even the thought of a third Bush term will make people roll up their sleeves.”

In the end, much will depend on the candidates themselves, how they win and how they lose.
Sim Farar, one of Clinton’s national finance chairs, predicts eventual unity, but he wasn’t buying into the spin that Obama has the race locked up. He’s helping to organize a fund-raiser for Clinton in Los Angeles on May 15.

He says he talked to Clinton the day after the Indiana and North Carolina vote to express his support for continuing on.

As he says, “It is not over until she says it is over.”

Equal Opportunity Satire

That, and other news, in today's Political Panorama.

A "Saturday Night Live" skit over the weekend skewered Hillary Clinton in a big way ("My supporters are racist"), to the point that MSNBC's Chuck Todd asks, "anyone else sense that SNL --- which was pretty tough on Obama early on --- is trying TOO hard to win over Obama folks with that cheap-shot filled parody?"

"SNL" did what it often does: Take some piece of satire and then beat it to death. In other words, they haven't quite figured out the adage of less is more.

Pundit Parsed: The New York Times profiles Karl Rove in his new role as Fox News pundit --- dispensing advice not just to John McCain but to the Democrats. “Wouldn’t taking his advice be a little like getting health tips from a funeral home director?” said Obama’s press secretary, Bill Burton.

Pundit Pissed: Another pundit, Clinton backer Lanny Davis, calls his CNN primary night appearance the "worst experience I ever had on television."

Penn Politics: Obama supporter Kal Penn urges two uncommitted superdelegates, the president and vice president of College Democrats, to make up their minds.

He writes on HuffingtonPost, "As representatives of a college group, I respect your decision to have waited until your constituents made their voices heard in a clear fashion. But that time has come and gone. You are no doubt aware that this election season started with an increase in youth voter turnout of 135% above 2004 levels in Iowa. Senator Obama won the 'youth vote' by a 4-1 margin in that state, followed by 3-1 in New Hampshire, and 2-1 in Nevada."

Sounding Off: Surfacing in recent days on YouTube is this outtake from "Inside Edition" in the years when Bill O'Reilly hosted. It looks like something out of an "SCTV" skit, and was perhaps a sign of things to come.

May 09, 2008

"West Wing" Stars: McCain Didn't Vote for Bush

Bradley Whitford and Richard Schiff, two of the stars of "The West Wing," corroborate Arianna Huffington's claim earlier this week that John McCain told her that he did not vote for George W. Bush in 2000.

The two actors told The Washington Post that McCain told a group that he did not for Bush at a 2001 dinner party at the home of Candice Bergen. It was part of a conversation in which he expressed reservations about the Bush presidency.

"He was going on and on about how horribly unqualified and untested Bush was, how the campaign had attacked his family," said Whitford, a registered Democrat. "Someone said, 'If he's so terrible, why did you support him?'"

Schiff had a similar recollection. "My memory was he said pretty clearly, no, he did not vote for him," he said. "I discussed it with others afterwards. It was clear to everyone he said no. Did he shout it from the rooftops? No."

McCain's campaign denies Huffington's claim. But the Los Angeles Times, quoting an unnamed woman who was also at the party, said she heard McCain say the same thing.

May 08, 2008

Clinton Boosters Push Superdelegates

Is there a last-minute campaign afoot to woo superdelegates?

I have heard from one committed to Obama who has been receiving one message after another addressed to "Dear Super Delegate," with an appeal to switch support to Clinton. (No go in this case).

There still a tone of resilience from Clinton backers I have talked to in the entertainment business over the past few days, but there's also a noticeable shift to the reality that this is coming to an end and that her chances were diminished quite a bit after Tuesday. There is still some hope for May 31, when the convention rules committee meets and appeals are made on Florida and Michigan. No major donors have switched sides --- with only weeks left, why would they? But there's not the same strident optimism that in the end she will come through.

I'll have more on this in a new Wilshire & Washington column that will debut in weekly Variety on Sunday --- and will be posted on Variety.com tomorrow.


Stone's "W" Gets Pre-Election Boost

Michael Fleming of Variety reports that Oliver Stone has landed Lionsgate as a distributor for his George W. Bush biopic and a release date: Oct. 17.

That's just weeks before the presidential election, and is bound to create a stir as the Democrats cast John McCain's campaign as a third Bush term.

"We don't really know much about Mr. Bush beyond the controlled images we've been allowed to see on TV. This movie's taking a bold stab at looking behind that curtain," Stone said in a statement. "I'm real pleased that Lionsgate has the independence necessary to bring this provocative story to an American audience."

"Too Much Show Biz"

20080519_107Joe Klein writes in Time that one of the problems of recent election campaigns is that it is too much entertainment --- certainly something we're familiar with --- and voters are reacting against it.

"Politics will always be propelled by grease, hot air and showmanship, but in the astonishing prosperity of the late 20th century, we allowed our public life to drift toward too much show biz, too little substance. Yes, the low-information signals — the bowling and tamale-eating — are crucial; politicians have to show that they are in touch with the lives of average folks. But a balance needs to be struck between carnival populism and the higher demands of democracy, and as a nation, we haven't been very good lately with the serious part of the program. As a result, there is a festering sense — I've seen it everywhere I've traveled this year — that the country is in "the ditch," as Clinton said. A general-election campaign between John McCain and Barack Obama doesn't need any hype. It won't be boring. The question is whether we, politicians and press alike, will grant this election — and electorate — the respect that it deserves."

About

Wilshire & Washington highlights the enduring relationship between entertainment and politics. More than a mere curiosity, the intersection of these worlds play out daily in fund raising, celebrity causes, show business lobbying and creative expression. Variety managing editor Ted Johnson provides the daily dose with contributions from reporters in L.A. and D.C.

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